Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029641 0.031935 0.034334 0.037033 0.039989 0.043133 0.046734
2025-02-16 0.025788 0.029026 0.032594 0.036831 0.041742 0.047276 0.054014
2025-02-23 0.023122 0.026884 0.031192 0.036521 0.042974 0.050583 0.060308
2025-03-02 0.021282 0.025399 0.030265 0.036489 0.044303 0.053877 0.066629
2025-03-09 0.019590 0.023888 0.029104 0.035965 0.044846 0.056089 0.071613
2025-03-16 0.018104 0.022488 0.027929 0.035261 0.045012 0.057718 0.075833
2025-03-23 0.016988 0.021458 0.027120 0.034922 0.045559 0.059798 0.080721
2025-03-30 0.016021 0.020545 0.026383 0.034593 0.046044 0.061761 0.085519
2025-04-06 0.015035 0.019540 0.025450 0.033914 0.045965 0.062882 0.089123
2025-04-13 0.014527 0.019141 0.025296 0.034278 0.047341 0.066119 0.096052
2025-04-20 0.013940 0.018594 0.024900 0.034260 0.048141 0.068534 0.101875
2025-04-27 0.013543 0.018287 0.024812 0.034664 0.049563 0.071940 0.109481
2025-05-04 0.012931 0.017651 0.024232 0.034321 0.049852 0.073648 0.114524
2025-05-11 0.012420 0.017135 0.023796 0.034163 0.050403 0.075788 0.120438
2025-05-18 0.011914 0.016601 0.023304 0.033886 0.050738 0.077583 0.125885
2025-05-25 0.011514 0.016202 0.022990 0.033858 0.051454 0.080024 0.132630
2025-06-01 0.011022 0.015645 0.022411 0.033379 0.051400 0.081165 0.137117
2025-06-08 0.010521 0.015052 0.021751 0.032735 0.051030 0.081731 0.140573
2025-06-15 0.010136 0.014619 0.021315 0.032425 0.051193 0.083210 0.145835
2025-06-22 0.009777 0.014211 0.020899 0.032123 0.051346 0.084668 0.151154
2025-06-29 0.009364 0.013704 0.020308 0.031502 0.050907 0.085030 0.154337
2025-07-06 0.009192 0.013566 0.020291 0.031835 0.052147 0.088506 0.164023
2025-07-13 0.008952 0.013311 0.020076 0.031818 0.052761 0.090856 0.171601